However, scientists now warn there’s a 4.3% chance the asteroid could strike the Moon on December 22, 2032. If it hits, it could leave a crater over 1 km wide and unleash energy comparable to several megatons of TNT.
While Earth is safe, the impact could send lunar debris into orbit, potentially affecting satellites and even creating a visible meteor shower.
NASA continues to monitor the asteroid as part of its planetary defense program.